Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.464976 0.511283 0.561656 0.620771 0.688566 0.764264 0.855713
2025-06-01 0.382444 0.445013 0.518579 0.612520 0.730851 0.877115 1.075068
2025-06-08 0.333257 0.402574 0.488456 0.604788 0.761654 0.971095 1.281452
2025-06-15 0.308778 0.384656 0.482856 0.622761 0.823103 1.110125 1.573905
2025-06-22 0.278459 0.354642 0.456410 0.606936 0.832584 1.174239 1.766664
2025-06-29 0.258044 0.335222 0.441317 0.603751 0.857958 1.263940 2.019273
2025-07-06 0.234989 0.309793 0.414848 0.579954 0.847070 1.292010 2.168667
2025-07-13 0.226533 0.304002 0.415673 0.596942 0.902715 1.440379 2.583492
2025-07-20 0.218753 0.298356 0.415879 0.612482 0.957538 1.597110 3.065495
2025-07-27 0.209731 0.290043 0.411083 0.618966 0.996908 1.731847 3.545933
2025-08-03 0.196247 0.273992 0.392844 0.600754 0.988298 1.768447 3.800700
2025-08-10 0.183471 0.258223 0.373886 0.579421 0.970890 1.783231 4.004284
2025-08-17 0.173699 0.246877 0.361792 0.569994 0.977366 1.855892 4.414174
2025-08-24 0.165287 0.237236 0.351907 0.563791 0.989988 1.946860 4.929198
2025-08-31 0.157532 0.228152 0.342258 0.556996 1.000349 2.035005 5.484659
2025-09-07 0.154422 0.226351 0.344727 0.573091 1.061776 2.265826 6.694982
2025-09-14 0.146557 0.216266 0.332174 0.558934 1.054241 2.313908 7.232116
2025-09-21 0.141107 0.209894 0.325686 0.556083 1.072077 2.436923 8.187750
2025-09-28 0.133247 0.199079 0.310654 0.534762 1.043776 2.420646 8.487291
2025-10-05 0.131374 0.198281 0.313479 0.549986 1.105214 2.689738 10.489753
2025-10-12 0.129382 0.197153 0.315589 0.563898 1.165858 2.977876 12.998629
2025-10-19 0.126400 0.194136 0.313983 0.569699 1.206731 3.215176 15.568395
2025-10-26 0.120764 0.186200 0.302685 0.553400 1.186542 3.230258 16.526247